Via PECOTA, things are tighter, with the Nationals and Mets losing a win, but not the Braves somehow (not sure how that works, but I just plugged in the numbers and that’s what came out!).
The spread of those four teams is from the Nationals at 89 wins to the Mets and Braves, now tied for 3rd at 84 wins. Interestingly, the Nationals are the only one of the “top 4” in the NL East that loses a win overall when doing the projections in Fangraphs in my rough working. Based on knowing what goes into each projection, I’ve done some rough projections and figured that the Fangraphs projections will adjust the standings such that in Fangraphs, the Phillies gain 2 wins. Philly is not that much betterĪccording to Fangraphs projections and Baseball Prospectus PECOTA projections, the Braves were projected 1 game better than the Phillies. Reports from those who have knowledge of the contract details lead one to believe that the Phillies orchestrated this deal in a way in order to be able to pursue Mike Trout heavily in two seasons. However, this deal is going to be fairly front-loaded (exact terms have not been released as the league has not approved them).
Bryce harper contract phiilies 2019 full#
There is a full no-trade clause, not some setup with a list of X-amount of teams that can be changed every year. There will be no opt-out during the deal. In terms, this was probably as easy to understand as any big contract in recent history.
Bryce harper contract phiilies 2019 free#
He would have been making between $30 million and $33 million per season if he would have taken the reported Braves offer, and he would have been back into free agency before he was even 30. The Atlanta Braves reportedly exceeded that AAV with an early 3-year offer that was just under $100 million. For reference, that ranks him 11th in the major leagues in AAV for the life of his contract, meaning he’s not even broken the level of a top-10 paid player in the game. Okay, he got the biggest total package of money, per his agent, but it was over 13 seasons, so the AAV for his deal comes out to $25.4 million per season throughout the life of the deal. In fact, there are some interesting things to consider with Bryce’s deal: He left money on the table Okay, that last one was typically a troll message from those who were going after the “Chicken Little” fans on Twitter and Facebook immediately after the announcement.Ĭertainly, the presence of Harper in the Atlanta Braves lineup would have been nice, but when looking at that deal, there’s a reason the team did not continue negotiations. Why didn’t the Braves sign him at that average annual value (AAV)?Ĭan the Braves even compete with the Phillies now? The announcement of Bryce Harper‘s 13-year, $330 million contract with the Phillies sent Atlanta Braves fans into all sorts of directions on social media. What does it mean for the Braves in 2019 and beyond? The Atlanta Braves division rival just signed one of the biggest free agents on the 2018/2019 market.
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